Toll Brothers (TOL)

• Market cap: $10.7B
• 1 day: -3.28%
• 5 days: -7.09%
• 1 month: -16.53%
• 3 months: -22.97%
• 6 months: -31.17%
• Year to date: -17.22%
• 1 year: -16.21%
• 5 years: 284.02%
• 10 years: 173.28%
• Sector: Industrials
• Industry: Operative Builders

About: Toll Brothers is the leading luxury homebuilder in the United States with an average sale price well above public competitors'. The company operates in over 60 markets across 24 states and caters to move-up, active-adult, and second-home buyers. Traditional homebuilding operations represent most of company's revenue. Toll Brothers also builds luxury for-sale and for-rent properties in urban centers across the U.S. It has its headquarters in Horsham, Pennsylvania.

Employees: 4,800

Fund manager confidence

Based on 2024 Q4 regulatory filings by fund managers ($100M+ AUM)

7% more first-time investments, than exits

New positions opened: 102 | Existing positions closed: 95

0.6% more ownership

Funds ownership: 87.56% [Q3] → 88.16% (+0.6%) [Q4]

1% less funds holding

Funds holding: 706 [Q3] → 701 (-5) [Q4]

8% less repeat investments, than reductions

Existing positions increased: 236 | Existing positions reduced: 256

18% less funds holding in top 10

Funds holding in top 10: 11 [Q3] → 9 (-2) [Q4]

19% less capital invested

Capital invested by funds: $13.7B [Q3] → $11.1B (-$2.53B) [Q4]

31% less call options, than puts

Call options by funds: $259M | Put options by funds: $378M

Research analyst outlook

10 Wall Street Analysts provided 1 year price targets over the past 3 months

• Low target: $101 2% downside
• Avg. target: $142 38% upside
• High target: $183 77% upside

10 analyst ratings

• positive: 5 50%
• neutral: 4 40%
• negative: 1 10%

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Jade Rahmani 44% 1-year accuracy 15 / 34 met price target	28% upside $132	Market Perform Maintained	25 Feb 2025
Barclays Matthew Bouley 28% 1-year accuracy 19 / 68 met price target	2% downside $101	Underweight Maintained	25 Feb 2025
Oppenheimer Tyler Batory 14% 1-year accuracy 5 / 36 met price target	60% upside $165	Outperform Maintained	20 Feb 2025
Goldman Sachs Susan Maklari 15% 1-year accuracy 4 / 26 met price target	21% upside $125	Neutral Maintained	20 Feb 2025
RBC Capital Mike Dahl 43% 1-year accuracy 23 / 53 met price target	35% upside $139	Outperform Maintained	20 Feb 2025